Posts Tagged ‘Mutual Fund’

Why Can’t I Get Rich?

November 12th, 2009

Have you read How Not To Become Millionaire?

The moment Johnny chose to enroll into the private university, he has been placed onto high roller of debt and consumption. The average tuition fee of private universities is few times higher than those of public university. His peers, most of them are from rich and wealthy families whom also have a lot of free money, given by their parents, lying around for disposal. In order for Johnny to blend in to his new friends, he has no choice but to join his peers in most of the high consumption activities hence started to cultivate the consumption patterns.

 1. Start Up High and Get Higher

Johnny’s father thought of kick starting Johnny life really put him high up above other fresh grads (Let us pick one of the fresh grad for example, his name is Jimmy). Jimmy started with monthly salary of $2,500 per month, yet he only owned a car half the price of Johnny’s. If let say 3 years later both Johnny and Jimmy decided to upgrade their vehicles, who do you think has a high barrier in term of cost to upgrade, Jimmy or Johnny? The answer is obviously Johnny. With his first car cost up to $70 thousands, he would probably think of buying a mid-size car that easily cost up to $120 thousands. Where by Jimmy would probably go for the entry model of Japanese cars that costs up to $60 to $80 thousands, still almost half price of what Johnny’s upgrade.

2. Opportunity Cost

Johnny paid $600 per month for 2-bedroom apartment, yet if he chose to share it with one of his friends; he would have saved half of the rental and put them into saving account. A saving of $300 per month can become $3,600 per year and $7,200 in two years. By the end of second year he could have $7,200 saved from the rental and started investing.

3. Long Term Surrounding Influence and Loss of Time

Johnny has cultivated the high consumption ways of life since early of his adult life. That also explained the method he used to release stress over busy working life. Partying and bar hopping, happy hour many nights in a week. He wasted a lot of valuable time in these unproductive activities when he could have done something more beneficial for his future, such as read up a book or plan for his financial future.

4. Instant Gratification and Pursuing of Material Items

Like most of the people, Johnny practice instant gratification. He bought expensive gift for himself, and roll them all into credit card debt. Even though he only paid as little as $200 per month, which he thought was a smart move, yet the most he spent paying every month was the cost of money, which is the interest rate.  Remember that Johnny’s friends are mostly from rich family, throughout university life and they have been frequently hanging out together. The spending patterns and buying choice of his friend largely contributed to Johnny’s clothing and goods brand choices. Since his friends are from rich family, it is natural that they have very different perception on value of money against brand. Living under peer pressure, Johnny would gradually adjust his value judgments on material items, without him aware of it.

5. Asset or Liability?

Johnny doesn’t understand the meaning of asset and liability. Simply put, asset will put money into your pocket but liability will take money away from your pocket. When he bought his first condominium, he thought it is an asset, because the real estate broker and banker told him so. And so Johnny got the biggest unit in the floor. However, since he paid more than thousand every month, it is definitely a liability. It is an asset, but it is the bank’s asset because bank get paid in term of interest every month, and bank would get paid as long as Johnny services the loan.

6. Snowballing High Consumptions

A nice condominium unit in the mid-upper class area contributed heavily on Johnny’s future consumption patterns. First of all, a nice condominium unit will not be completed without a tasteful touch of renovation and interior design. Johnny borrowed heavily on personal loan in hiring contractor and interior designer. He spent all his saving in acquiring tasteful looking furniture to go along with his home décor. All his furniture designs has to blend well to the décor, else it would seem out of the place. Imagine what would happen if a piece of budget sofa sits in that tasteful design living room? And where can you put the cheap carpet? Besides, in order for him to blend into his rich-looking neighborhood, he saw no choice but to upgrade his car to a full sized. It costs him double the price of his previous car, another fresh liability rolled into his balance sheet. 

7. Lack of Financial Intelligence

Even though Johnny earns very high income, he has no financial education. He couldn’t distinguish investment from gambling. That’s why he liked to relate stock investment to gambling which equals to buying a lottery ticket and not winning. He didn’t realize it takes a lot of financial literacy to excel in stock market, the financial intelligent required to read and understand financial statements and economical variables. The reason he made a loss in stock market and mutual fund was because of buying people ideas instead of his own intelligent. He didn’t realize hot mutual fund will eventually get cold. It is the slow train that takes you cross countries. Insider tips most of the time turns out to be a hype that speculators purposely created to make instant gain out of the loser – Johnny.   

8. Work Hard to Increase Liability!

Johnny lived in delusion, believing that the more he earns, the more likely he will become rich. He hoped that one day he could also become wealthy by first having nice car and house. That’s not likely to happen. He didn’t realize his neighbors moved into the area only after they got wealthy. As Johnny’s income increase over the year so does his expense. There are many factors that could contribute to his rising expenses; his adopted way of life to instant gratify, pursuing of material items, and environment impacts. The problem will multiply when he has a family, Johnny could never imagine his way of life could have profound effect in his loved one, such as his wife and kids, and very likely they too, will adopt his spending patterns. This is when trouble is looking for more trouble.

How Not To Be Millionaire

November 11th, 2009

Johnny graduated from one of the local private university as bachelor degree holder. Throughout 4 years of university life he has borrowed a bank study loan to pay for tuition fees. He spent every excess dollar he had in partying with friends, purchasing up to date electronic gadgets, video games, and holiday trips. He graduated with total $80 thousands in debt.  

Right after the first successful job interview, Johnny happily went to shop for his first new car. His father would pay 20% down, understanding that his son would need the car to go to work and his father thought that is a good idea to get him started. Johnny chose a Japan model cost up to $70 thousands. He only needed to pay $1,000 per month out of his new job salary of $2,500. After all, his father has already paid off $14,000.

Since Johnny worked away from home, he had to rent a place to stay. He rented a small 2-bedroom apartment unit for $600. Personal privacy was very important for him, so he never planned to share the apartment with anyone.

Working life is busy for Johnny. He worked 8 to 10 hours per day from 9am until 6pm, some times 7 or 8pm. After work he would join his friend for long dinner, chat for an hour or two. Most of the time, he went happy hour with his friend till the midnight.

Johnny had a few credit cards when joining the work force. Banks love to give away credit cards to fresh grads. For the first time, Johnny felt life was blissful as then he could buy whatever he wanted. He was only required to pay the minimum. So he went to every big and small sale. He especially liked those UK/US imported clothes and shoes brands that cost a few times more than the other local brands. Besides, he felt it’s time to buy himself a real gift as he has been working hard for his life. So he bought the 42-inches plasma TV and PS3 set. He felt very grateful as there is a thing call installment so now he only needs to pay $200 per month for next 24 months. Thanks to his financial intelligent, he didn’t need to max out his credit card limit yet.

Johnny did great job in his company and his manager gave him pay raise almost every year. Two years down the road, he earned more than double from what he used to earn in the beginning. Then he thought it was time for him to invest in his first house. So he got himself a nice 3-bedroom, big balcony condominium unit near the rich area, he put his entire bonus money earned as down payment. He was officially a house owner now.

As he first gotten his house key, he excitedly contacted a few contractors and interior designer to discuss about house renovation. He borrowed personal loan to do the renovation, so there was no need to touch on his own saving. He would only use his saving to buy furniture for his newly renovated house. Furniture from IKEA would be ideal, as it is not too expensive yet tasteful design. He spent his entire saving in acquiring furniture like sofa, bed, lighting, wardrobe, full range of kitchen furniture and equipments. He has never cooked. Well, his friends would come up and have drinks and get together once in a while since he has a pretty comfortable home.

Most of Johnny’s neighbors were highly-educated professionals like doctors, architect, accountants and engineers. He began to feel out of the place with his 6 years old Toyota Vios parking in between of those latest Europeans and luxurious models. So he traded in for the latest Honda Accord.          

With his self-perceived status, he only accepted banks offering him privileges of platinum credit card. He has a few credit cards of that color in his wallet. He paid up to thousands in annual fees every year. He only dined in expensive restaurants, he thought it would reflect his own status and taste if he suggested the restaurant to his friends. He only used the priciest products from grocery shelf as he thought the price reflects on quality of the product, which was also the value he perceived in things around. He paid to maintain membership of gym club even though he was overly busy for his work every day and he only managed to work out twice per month. Besides, he pays a few thousand dollars yearly to maintain the membership in a golf club. He likes to bring along his friends to the range once every two weeks. 

Johnny once set aside a few thousand dollars for a hot mutual fund, persuaded by his friend who was working as mutual fund sales agent. The mutual fund was later become as cool as under water. Johnny never bothered about it anymore. On and off, he also burnt some money from trading in stock market as his friend informed him of some so called hot tips from insider. He gave up on investing, concluded that stock is too risky or thought that he simply has no luck in investing. When talking to his friends, he always liked to relate investing to buying a lottery ticket.

So Johnny continued to work hard, he worked to pay off debt; his house mortgage, personal loan, study loan, credit cards, annual bank fees, insurance, club membership, bills and other installments. He only has a few thousands dollars in bank saving set aside for emergency purpose. He started to realize he might not be able to maintain his current high consumption lifestyle in future with his current income, so he worked even harder, fought for promotion, hoped that one day he could be debt free and become rich.

 

- The End -

Read the sequel article – Why Can’t I Get Rich to find out exactly why Johnny can never get rich.

How to Pick Winning Mutual Fund

October 31st, 2009

Mutual fund is one of the most popular investment vehicles in the market nowadays, generally it pools money from huge number of investors and diversify the investment into a number of selected stocks from different sectors, bonds, and other securities. It is so popular among average investors because it lifts the burden off of having to pick up some of the most important investment intelligence. This important task is then handed over to the fund manager who we hope that, can invest our money better than us.

However, even though managed by reputable investment firms, the best financial institution, or the so called expert of the field, still many mutual fund investors out there are not making much money, worse yet even more investors are still experiencing heavy losses. There are many reasons investors are not making money from mutual fund.

  1. High Entry Cost and Annual Fee. Some funds charge as high as 6% at initial entry and 1.5 – 2% every year as administrative charges. This means that before you mutual fund even earning you some returns, you are down by 8%. In order to make any gain, the fund will basically have to perform at the rate of return of 8% or more.
  2. Snapshot of Big Gain. It is common for investment firm to show spectacular gain of a specific period in order lure potential investors. What investors don’t realize is that the big gain shown in the mutual fund prospectus is captured during a booming period when the fund manager is chasing for some hot stocks in shorter term. This kind of gain does not last, and most probably it will go south when investors buy into the fund.
  3. Limited Investment Options in Local Market. There are only a limited number of funds available in the market, in my context, the Malaysia market. Even there is only limited number of funds in Asian countries compare to the US market where there is probably more than 8000 mutual funds out there. Adding to the frustration, there are only a small number of funds that are performing, and if you are limited to only to a few choices, your chance of high return is low to none.  
  4. Not Enough Information and Research Tools.  The single most important reason why investors don’t make money from mutual fund is because lack of information and knowledge of research tools. Average mutual fund investors can only pick funds that are presented to them by sales agents and the only information they can get about the fund is the prospectus that doesn’t show much useful information. Without knowledge of useful research tools and access to information of vast choice of mutual fund out there, one would have no choice but be bounded to limited losing choices. 

If you just decided to invest in mutual fund or have been making a loss, don’t lose hope yet because there is a better way you can pick the winning mutual fund. The best of all, what you are going to learn to use is totally free and accessible through internet!

  1. Open your web browser and logon to www.morningstar.com. Look for Fund tab on the upper menu and click on it. Please refer to below screen shot.FutureMoney_MorningStarFrontPage
  2. Look for Fund Screener at the left panel of the web site. Clicking this will bring you to page where you can enter filters to obtain a list of funds with winning criteria.
    FutureMoney_MS_screener
  3. Select your preferred type of fund from Fund Group. For the sake of example, I will leave it as All, so it will find fund from all categories.
  4. Select 5 Years for manager tenure. This is to make sure only the funds with experienced fund manager will be selected.
  5. For minimum initial purchase, it depends on how much money you can afford at the moment. For our example, we will just put $1,000 minimum.
  6. Select No-load fund only for load funds. Select this to filter out any mutual funds that require entry cost and management fees.
  7. Select 4 and 5 Morningstar Star Rating. Morningstar have their own system and measurements in term of rating a fund, to keep things simple, the more stars the better.
  8. Select below than average for Morningstar Risk.FutureMoney_MS_screener1
  9. In term of return, select S&P 500 for 5-year return. This is to make sure whatever mutual funds found match the performance of S&P500 index for period of 5 years.
  10. For total assets, select 1 or 5 billions. This is to make sure the fund is not too small to go bust easily and has enough capital to sustain itself.
  11. If you have a targeted duration to realize the profit, select duration. In our case, we put 5 years length.
  12. Now, by clicking show result, the next screen will display a list of short listed mutual funds that meet your criteria.
    FutureMoney_MS_screener2FutureMoney_MS_Screener3    

Analysis of Shortlisted Mutual Funds

As you can see from the screen shot, Morningstar returns mutual funds from very different categories and those rated with 4 stars and above. It also shows in the list the Year To Date (YTD) return in percentage and total asset for all the listed mutual funds. If you click on one of the fund, let say DFA Emerging markets with YTD return of 56%. This will bring you to quote page. Here, you can see a lot of information that is related to the fund. For example: the net asset value, change of value in day, load amount, a graph showing 10 years performance, trading range within a year, total asset under management, investment type, category, risk and return, etc.

Also in quote page, under Morningstar Risk Measures column, you can find out the risk and return of the mutual fund as compared to other mutual fund in the same category. In our case, risk is below average for the category, while return is above average compared to other mutual fund from the same category, this is a plus point.

Look under Performance column, it shows the performance of the fund for various period of time. In our interest, we look at 3, 5 or maybe 10 years performance. For DFA Emerging Market, the rate of return is 6.77%, 16.30% and 11.38%, which is doing quite well. Interest we get by putting money in bank fixed deposit is not even 3% nowadays.

Click to navigate to Rating & Risk page. This page will show you the Morningstar rating for the mutual fund in term of past invested period from 3 to 10 years or above. Besides, there are two key figures we need to focus on; Standard Deviation and Sharpe Ratio. Standard deviation is a statistical measure of the range of a fund’s performance. When a fund has a high standard deviation, its history shows a wide range of performance, indicating a greater potential for volatility. Simply put, the greater the standard deviation, the greater the fund’s volatility. The Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted performance by comparing a fund’s average monthly return to the average monthly return of a Treasury bill, which is a risk-free investment. Simply put, the higher the Sharpe ratio, the better the fund’s historical risk-adjusted performance. In our case, the standard deviation and Sharpe ratio is 30.66 and 0.28. Although I would say 30.66 is quite high and 0.28 is quite low, so these points are not doing that well.

If you navigate to Management page, you can see the fund manager detail, biography, start date and so on. For this fund, Karen E. Umland has been managing the fund since 1997, which is more than 10 years. So we hope that she will continue to manage the fund and maintain or outperform the next 5 years.

To find out which investment firm to approach in order to purchase the mutual fund, simply click on Purchase and you will be brought to the page where there is a list of brokerage firms that are offering the investment product. As you can see in the same page, it also mentions free charges for various administrative efforts. However there isn’t really a zero cost fund around in the market, as they probably have already factored in the cost into your future gain, so you will need to read the fine lines before purchasing a fund. If the potential gain is not dampened much by the factored cost then it will be still fine.      

In order to find out which mutual fund is the best among the short listed, you need to establish a shorter list of the highest ranked mutual funds, type it down in an Excel document or write in a paper spreadsheet. For each mutual fund, find out the key figures and winning criteria that have been mentioned above. With the list prepared and the best fund determined, you are now better prepared to purchase your next winning mutual fund.