Posts Tagged ‘financial statement’

Why Can’t People Make Money in Stock Market

November 17th, 2009

FutureMoney_stockmarketStock market went down to rock bottom last October, banks and insurance companies failed, investors lose huge amount of money, and followed by raise of unemployment rate. Government gave out hundreds billions dollar tax payers’ money in the form of bailout just to keep the economy afloat. More than a year later, economy is almost back to positive, from the look of it. However, one must not deny it is getting more risky to get into the market nowadays, consider the stock market has rallied beyond the economy fundamental (In my opinion) when unemployment rate is still high and many companies are still losing money. Any negative news will send the stock market into a major correction. As stock investor, it is important for us to learn what are the major mistakes we could possibly make thus to avoid it.

  1. Lack of financial literacy – One of the major reason why people lose money investing in stock market is because lack of financial education. In order to invest in stock market, one must understand and know how to read financial statements of the company that you are investing in. Three financial statements that we need to understand when come to analyzing a company’s financial position: balance sheet, income statement and cash flow statement. Besides it is very important to understand stock and financial jargons before we can even start looking at stock market. Take one example: Stock ABC and DEF are both selling at $5 and $50 respectively. Which stock is more expensive? A person without any financial knowledge will think $50 is more expensive because the amount is larger. However a person with financial education would understand it takes the underlying company asset and financial prospect to evaluation the true value of the stock. In our example let say ABC cost $5 where by it should have worth $1, and DEF cost $50, where by it is really worth $100. Now which one is more expensive? Obviously stock ABC is 400% more expensive than it should be.
  2. Follow other people’s idea – Many people without financial education of stock will turn to other sources such stock analysis column in newspaper. Stock analysis is a good reference material for beginner stock investors but it shouldn’t be treated as investment decision. The reason why people can’t make money from buying stock analysis idea is because most analysis reports simply come out too late, before the analysis report being published, professional investors has already gone in and wait to make the killing. Small investors who buy into the stock idea will later go in and immediately get killed by well-informed investors.  
  3. Buying Hot Tips – A lot of time in stock investing arena we heard about so called hot tips from insiders. No people know exactly how true is the tips until proven otherwise. This is when people make a lot of losses by plunging into the stock. Thing is, most of the hot tips is spread from insider just so to push up the stock price so some one also from “inside” can make a profit. This kind of rise is not sustainable in long term, and it will retrace as soon as the news died down or some one has made a handsome profit by selling off the stock.
  4. Emotional Investor – Admittedly when comes to investing our own money, there is a part in us will always react irrationally, this is our emotion. The fear of losing money. The greed when seeing other investors making money. For those who fears, it usually happens when the person have previously experienced heavy loss from stock investing. The painful experience of losing money will cause him to back away from buying opportunities even though it is good time to buy. Fear will cause investors to stand at the side line, wait and see, and these investors will wait and see as long as they are afraid, but it is only when their fear overwhelmed by greed then they went into the market. They eventually get slaughtered because it is too late when they go in. Wait until fear overcame by greed is too late. There is one saying by the world wealthiest stock investor Warren Buffet: When everyone is afraid, you should be greedy. But when everyone is greedy, you should be very afraid.
  5. Sell Too Early and Sell Too Late – The first one will not earn you much money, and second one will lose you lots of money. Many people invest in stock without a clear set of exit strategies, strategies define when to sell to lock in to profit and when to sell to cut loss. Many people will sell their stock way too early and then witness the stock price skyrockets afterward. Even more people will hold on tight to the stock as long as the stock is going down, then sell only before it hits zero. Actually, these behaviors can also be attributed from lack of financial intelligence, the skill required to determine the stock intrinsic value thus developing the exit strategy.
  6. Timing the Market - Some investors believe in prediction, they believe there are signs to look out for the next big stock  market movement but many times they are wrong. They make huge loss from believing the so called prophecy. The thing is, stock market is consist of hundreds of millions of institutional, professional and individual investors who act and behave differently that contributed to the erratic and irrational stock movements over time. No one in their limited humanly mind can precisely predict what is going on next.
  7. Over Diversified – Certain level of diversification is good thing, as it could reduce losses when you are wrong but at the same time it also limit the profit when you are right. Over diversified will most probably kill you. Imagine having to keep track of 10 to 20 stocks per day. Besides, there is a thing call minimum brokerage fee that you need to pay for every stock trade. Since the proportion of each stock investment is small, minimum brokerage fee incurred will drown your potential return so much even before you make profit and try imagining most of the stocks remain status quo. As our greatest stock investor Warren Buffet says diversification is for birds. One diversifies only when he doesn’t know what he is doing.

Further topics related to stock investing:

  1. Where To Learn Financial Literacy
  2. What Warren Buffet Sees In His Companies
  3. 7 Ways To Pick Quality Stocks
  4. How You Can Make Money In Market Downturn

Why Can’t I Get Rich?

November 12th, 2009

Have you read How Not To Become Millionaire?

The moment Johnny chose to enroll into the private university, he has been placed onto high roller of debt and consumption. The average tuition fee of private universities is few times higher than those of public university. His peers, most of them are from rich and wealthy families whom also have a lot of free money, given by their parents, lying around for disposal. In order for Johnny to blend in to his new friends, he has no choice but to join his peers in most of the high consumption activities hence started to cultivate the consumption patterns.

 1. Start Up High and Get Higher

Johnny’s father thought of kick starting Johnny life really put him high up above other fresh grads (Let us pick one of the fresh grad for example, his name is Jimmy). Jimmy started with monthly salary of $2,500 per month, yet he only owned a car half the price of Johnny’s. If let say 3 years later both Johnny and Jimmy decided to upgrade their vehicles, who do you think has a high barrier in term of cost to upgrade, Jimmy or Johnny? The answer is obviously Johnny. With his first car cost up to $70 thousands, he would probably think of buying a mid-size car that easily cost up to $120 thousands. Where by Jimmy would probably go for the entry model of Japanese cars that costs up to $60 to $80 thousands, still almost half price of what Johnny’s upgrade.

2. Opportunity Cost

Johnny paid $600 per month for 2-bedroom apartment, yet if he chose to share it with one of his friends; he would have saved half of the rental and put them into saving account. A saving of $300 per month can become $3,600 per year and $7,200 in two years. By the end of second year he could have $7,200 saved from the rental and started investing.

3. Long Term Surrounding Influence and Loss of Time

Johnny has cultivated the high consumption ways of life since early of his adult life. That also explained the method he used to release stress over busy working life. Partying and bar hopping, happy hour many nights in a week. He wasted a lot of valuable time in these unproductive activities when he could have done something more beneficial for his future, such as read up a book or plan for his financial future.

4. Instant Gratification and Pursuing of Material Items

Like most of the people, Johnny practice instant gratification. He bought expensive gift for himself, and roll them all into credit card debt. Even though he only paid as little as $200 per month, which he thought was a smart move, yet the most he spent paying every month was the cost of money, which is the interest rate.  Remember that Johnny’s friends are mostly from rich family, throughout university life and they have been frequently hanging out together. The spending patterns and buying choice of his friend largely contributed to Johnny’s clothing and goods brand choices. Since his friends are from rich family, it is natural that they have very different perception on value of money against brand. Living under peer pressure, Johnny would gradually adjust his value judgments on material items, without him aware of it.

5. Asset or Liability?

Johnny doesn’t understand the meaning of asset and liability. Simply put, asset will put money into your pocket but liability will take money away from your pocket. When he bought his first condominium, he thought it is an asset, because the real estate broker and banker told him so. And so Johnny got the biggest unit in the floor. However, since he paid more than thousand every month, it is definitely a liability. It is an asset, but it is the bank’s asset because bank get paid in term of interest every month, and bank would get paid as long as Johnny services the loan.

6. Snowballing High Consumptions

A nice condominium unit in the mid-upper class area contributed heavily on Johnny’s future consumption patterns. First of all, a nice condominium unit will not be completed without a tasteful touch of renovation and interior design. Johnny borrowed heavily on personal loan in hiring contractor and interior designer. He spent all his saving in acquiring tasteful looking furniture to go along with his home décor. All his furniture designs has to blend well to the décor, else it would seem out of the place. Imagine what would happen if a piece of budget sofa sits in that tasteful design living room? And where can you put the cheap carpet? Besides, in order for him to blend into his rich-looking neighborhood, he saw no choice but to upgrade his car to a full sized. It costs him double the price of his previous car, another fresh liability rolled into his balance sheet. 

7. Lack of Financial Intelligence

Even though Johnny earns very high income, he has no financial education. He couldn’t distinguish investment from gambling. That’s why he liked to relate stock investment to gambling which equals to buying a lottery ticket and not winning. He didn’t realize it takes a lot of financial literacy to excel in stock market, the financial intelligent required to read and understand financial statements and economical variables. The reason he made a loss in stock market and mutual fund was because of buying people ideas instead of his own intelligent. He didn’t realize hot mutual fund will eventually get cold. It is the slow train that takes you cross countries. Insider tips most of the time turns out to be a hype that speculators purposely created to make instant gain out of the loser – Johnny.   

8. Work Hard to Increase Liability!

Johnny lived in delusion, believing that the more he earns, the more likely he will become rich. He hoped that one day he could also become wealthy by first having nice car and house. That’s not likely to happen. He didn’t realize his neighbors moved into the area only after they got wealthy. As Johnny’s income increase over the year so does his expense. There are many factors that could contribute to his rising expenses; his adopted way of life to instant gratify, pursuing of material items, and environment impacts. The problem will multiply when he has a family, Johnny could never imagine his way of life could have profound effect in his loved one, such as his wife and kids, and very likely they too, will adopt his spending patterns. This is when trouble is looking for more trouble.