Posts Tagged ‘emotion’

Surviving Thanks Giving and Christmas On Spending

November 6th, 2009

FutureMoney_ParisChristmasChristmas and Thanks Giving are around the corner, people start to get busy planning for celebration, vacations, and shopping for gifts. Streets and shopping complexes around the country spend millions of dollars in decorating for Christmas in order to promote holiday atmosphere. This is one of the times in the year, retails, shopping malls, tourism and service sector could boost their sales profit by getting consumer to spend more. Decoration is part of the strategy to boost sales. In fact, it is much easier to get people to spend during this time of year, this could have many reasons and one of the reasons is emotion reactions. Thus we should be extra cautious when we spend during this time. 

  1. Create a budgeting plan for the incoming celebrations.

    Do you have habit of keeping track of budgets for everything? Such as yearly or monthly budget on clothes, shoes, car, food, etc. If not, it’s okay, because not everyone does that. But if you tend to spend more during festive season, it is important for you to at least come out with one for festive celebration only. List out the budget allocated to celebration like Christmas dinner, gift, decoration, etc. With a budget plan in place, and discipline to follow it from time to time, not only you can avoid over spending, you can also save on a bunch from buying unnecessary stuff. Of course, the budget have to be somewhat cost justifiable and not extravagant.

  2. Avoid mindless spending. It is smart to buy things on great discount but it is not smart to buy discounted stuff if it is unnecessary. I know it is very tempting to buy thing in great discount during festive seasons like thanks giving or Christmas, but those things aren’t what you need and most of the time you buy it on impulse. Have you ever regretted buying something during sales even you don’t need it? you buy it because it is cheap.
  3. Understanding your own emotion. People celebrate during festive seasons. These festivals gives people high level of feel good emotion. Have you ever wondered why there are always so many people flocking the shopping malls and outlets on approaching festive seasons. Be there any sales or not, there will still be many shoppers flooding the malls, its like things are free. This is because festival makes people excited and feels good. People buy when react to certain emotions especially excitement, fear and greed. During the festive seasons, people get excited on prospect of enjoying holidays, vacation and meeting loved one. With a bit of incentive from retailer by giving great discount, it will trigger the emotion of greed in human. Besides, sales person can make things seem like great deal and it would be a loss if you don’t get one, usually they will tell you there is only few items left so grab it before stock last. This will trigger the emotion of fear in human, a person who hears this sales talk is afraid that he is going to lose the once in a life time opportunity to get this so called great deal.
  4. Spend time preparing dinner. During Christmas or other festive day, it is not uncommon for restaurant or gift shop to hike the price. The reason of price hike might just because of some excuses to make more money or a more proper reason is because of high demand during the day as a result of more patrons and customers. Take florist for example, it is normal that the price of roses increase dramatically during festive days like Valentine’ day or Christmas. People are willing to spend dining in fancy restaurants, and give expensive gift to loved one. But in time like this, you need to be more cautious on dining outside. Remember the price of a meal could be double or triple and don’t forget you are bringing along your family as well, if you have any. Make your own special dinner, buy food and vegetable from Wal-Mart, Tesco or Giant that is on discount. Save money, live better – does this sound familiar to you? You can even save money by organizing a party, why not get everyone to participate in a potluck. Not only everyone is actively involved in shared organizing the party to make it better, it also improves bonding between friends.
  5. Plan your travelling time.People spend a lot of time travelling before and after festive season, going back home and coming back to work. This is unavoidable because most people work away from home. The worst part is travel expenses increase tremendously if you don’t plan ahead. Air fare increase dramatically when approaching festive season, everyone else is looking for a seat in flight. Knowing the law of supply and demand, one should realize that price increases as supply is unable to cope with demand. This happens exactly to travelling options like flight. With this in mind, you should have planned for coming holidays far early, probably as early as the booking system allows. For people who drive across countries and states, it will be better to avoid peak hour travelling like after work, try departing earlier or very late at night. This could save you a lot of time and money as you can probably avoid traffic jam.

Mistakes You Don’t Want To Make In Stock Market

October 14th, 2009

After the market crashed, KLCI went down by almost 50% in January and February 2009 and hit the bottom. Since then, bargain hunting took place and since then stock price never stopped going up, although some time the stock price went up and down for a week or two because of price correction as a result of over bullish sentiment, in the end it resumed the uptrend for another month or two.

 

My investment portfolio was up by nearly 30% since March, a decent gain for a after-crash rebound, but not a great one, just ordinary. I could have done much better if certain mistakes were not done repetitively. Yes, i mean repetitively, knowingly and unknowingly.

 There were a few times i bought the stock during the price consolidation, and the price went down immediately. It stayed down for a while. Seeing there was no progress on price after a week like that, i sold it. Then it started to go up again. This is not unlucky but the work of emotion – fear of losing further and i realized that all the time. When the stock price stay in red for a long time, fear emotion takes place – the same fear that could cause a major sell down and causes a falling price. However at that very same time, deep down i know that the stock price will break the resistance point very soon and i just need to hold on a while more, because i know we were in a long term bull run and the stock price is still cheap (This is only gut feeling, you should do your homework). My definition of resistance point is the highest price a stock could go during a consolidation period before go down again. When stock price break out from resistance point, the price move higher than the previous highest point.

In the end i sold those stock. Emotion clouded my judgement, and that caused mistake, and i could have been earning more than 60% since the rebound. Even though i gain a total of 30% from my stock investment, i also loss the 20% possibly higher gain if i see the stock breaks through the consolidation.

RK’s rich dad says; investment is very easy, you just need to stick to the plan, but sticking to the plan is boring. Human get bore easily, thus they always don’t follow the plan till the end. So they lose money.

That also explained my case, during the price consolidation, i was looking at the other market sector that keep going up and up while my stock price stayed in red for a long time. Bored at staying stagnant, i started to look for other more excited opportunity to jump in. Sometime i was lucky that i didn’t catch the latest bus, i made some gain but most of the time, i lose money.